Evidence base
The evidence base for the primary prevention of type 2 diabetes, at least in people who are classified as having impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) is clear and overwhelming   1 . The notion that weight loss, where appropriate, and increased physical activity is beneficial in such persons has long been a belief and is now supported by randomized controlled trial (RCT) studies in many countries. In addition, certain specific pharmacological interventions have also been proven to be effective.

The recent RCTs carried out in China   2 , Finland   3 , the USA   4 , Japan   5  and India   6  have conclusively shown that lifestyle interventions in people with IGT can prevent, or at least delay, the transition to type 2 diabetes. These interventions investigated weight loss and increased physical activity in the overweight and obese  3   4  but also lifestyle management in those who were not obese   2 . The pharmacological interventions investigated were medication with the biguanide drug metformin   4  or with the alpha-glucosidase inhibitor acarbose   7  or with sibutramine   8  or, in those with a history of gestational diabetes, troglitazone   9 .

The main features and conclusions of these trials are summarized in Table 1. In the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) in the US the risk reduction effect following lifestyle changes were much more apparent than intervention with metformin, which was also significant.

Table 1 | Recent trials relevant to the primary prevention of type 2 diabetes

Trial

Incidence (%) of progression 
from IGT to type 2 diabetes
 (intervention vs control)
Intervention

Da Qing   2 

44 vs 66 Lifestyle

TRIPOD   9 

14 vs 30  Troglitazone

DPP   4 

14 vs 29  Lifestyle

DPS, Finland   3 

 32 vs 42  Lifestyle

STOP-NIDDM   7 

32 vs 42 Acarbose

XENDOS   8  

6 vs 9 Xenical

Kosaka et al   5 

 3 vs 9  Lifestyle

Indian DPP   6 

39 vs 55  Lifestyle

Adapted from Davies et al, 2004   10   


Not shown in the Table is the fact that, for the interventions shown, the number needed to treat (NNT) over three years ranged from 2.25 (Da Qing) to 36 (in the IGT group of the XENDOS study). That is, the number of people needed to be treated with these interventions over three years to avoid one person with IGT progressing to type 2 diabetes ranged from 2.25 to 36   10 .

In the Indian DPP, the effect of following lifestyle changes and intervention with metformin produced similar results as combining both, and did not show an additional benefit (see Figure 1).

Figure 1 | Cumulative incidence of diabetes (%) in the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme* 

Cumulative incidence of diabetes (%) in the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme*



*Cumulative incidence of diabetes, calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. The number of subjects who underwent an annual OGTT was 484, 403 and 345 at 12, 24 and 30/36 months, respectively. The p values for relative risk reduction were as follows: LSM = 0.018, LSM + MET= 0.022, MET = 0.029. LSM and LSM + MET showed identical results, therefore, the graphs overlap.

Source: Ramachandran et al, 2006   6 


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9.Buchanan,T.A. Xiang,A. Peters,R.K. Kjos,A.L. Marroquin,A. Goico,J. Ochoa,C. Tan,S. Azon,S.P. Protection from type 2 diabetes persists in the TRIPOD cohort eight months after stopping troglitazone.. Diabetes.2001; 50 Suppl 2: A81-
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