North American region

The North American Region has the highest prevalence of diabetes among the IDF regions with 9.2%, or 28 million persons with diabetes in the adult population, for 2007 (see Table 1). The region is expected to continue to have the highest prevalence in 2025 when 10.8% of adults are anticipated to have diabetes.

Although the region comprises 24 countries and territories, 68% of the adult population reside in the United States of America (USA), with a further 21% living in Mexico and 8% in Canada, so that only 3% of the region’s adult population reside in the other 21 smaller nations. 

At a glance

 

2007

2025

Total population (millions)

462

536

Adult population (age 20-79, millions)

306

376

 

 

 
Diabetes (20-79 age group)    
Regional prevalence (%)

9.2

10.8

Comparative prevalence (%)

8.4

9.7

Number of people with diabetes (millions)

28.3

40.5

     
Impaired Glucose Tolerance (IGT) (20- 79 age group)    
Regional prevalence (%)

6.4

7.3

Comparative prevalence (%)

5.8

6.7

Number of people with IGT (millions)

19.6

24.5

Diabetes and IGT prevalence
The high prevalence of abnormal glucose tolerance for Canada and the USA are very much a consequence of their older age distribution, such that 30% of their population are over 50 years of age, and expected to be 36% by 2025   1 . This is in contrast to 16% of those over 50 years of age increasing to 26% for Mexico, and 20% increasing to 28% for the Caribbean.

The data published in Tables 1 and 2 indicate the expected number of persons with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) for Canada and the USA, based on the data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2000   2 , which based assessment on the fasting glucose. NHANES III data   3  suggested that IGT prevalence was about 50% higher than for IFG, on which basis about 18 million Americans were likely to affected by IGT in 2007 (9% prevalence), and nearly 25 million in 2025.

As all the Caribbean islands other than Barbados, Guadeloupe and Martinique had their estimates extrapolated from Jamaican data   4 , the differences in prevalence are a consequence only of different age distributions for the islands.

There were new studies of diabetes prevalence used for USA   5  and Mexico   6   7 , which hardly affected the USA estimate, but somewhat increased that for Mexico.


1.United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Geneva: United Nations; 2005
2.CDC Prevalence of diabetes and impaired fasting glucose in adults--United States, 1999-2000. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.2003; 52(35): 833-837
3.Harris,MI Flegal,KM Cowie,CC Eberhardt,MS Goldstein,DE Little,RR Wiedmeyer,HM Byrd-Holt,DD Prevalence of diabetes, impaired fasting glucose, and impaired glucose tolerance in U.S. adults. The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination 1988-1994. Diabetes Care.1998; 21: 518-524
4.Wilks,R. Rotimi,C. Bennett,F. McFarlane-Anderson,N. Kaufman,J.S. Anderson,S.G. Cooper,R.S. Cruickshank,J.K. Forrester,T. Diabetes in the Caribbean: results of a population survey from Spanish Town, Jamaica. Diabet Med.1999; 16(10): 875-883
5.Cowie,C.C. Rust,K.F. Byrd-Holt,D.D. Eberhardt,M.S. Flegal,K.M. Engelgau,M.M. Saydah,S.H. Williams,D.E. Geiss,L.S. Gregg,E.W. Prevalence of diabetes and impaired fasting glucose in adults in the U.S. population: National Health And Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2002. Diabetes Care.2006; 29(6): 1263-1268
6.Aguilar-Salinas CA Velazquez Monroy O Gomez-Perez FJ Gonzalez Chavez A Esqueda AL Molina Cuevas V Rull-Rodrigo JA Tapia Conyer R Characteristics of patients with type 2 diabetes in Mexico: Results from a large population-based nationwide survey. Diabetes Care.2003; 26(7): 2021-2026
7.Sanchez-Castillo CP Velasquez-Monroy O Lara-Esqueda A Berber A Sepulveda J Tapia-Conyer R James WP Diabetes and hypertension increases in a society with abdominal obesity: results of the Mexican National Health Survey 2000. Public Health Nutr.2005; 8(1): 53-60