The North American Region has the highest prevalence of diabetes among the IDF regions with 9.2%, or 28 million persons with diabetes in the adult population, for 2007 (see Table 1). The region is expected to continue to have the highest prevalence in 2025 when 10.8% of adults are anticipated to have diabetes.
Although the region comprises 24 countries and territories, 68% of the adult population reside in the United States of America (USA), with a further 21% living in Mexico and 8% in Canada, so that only 3% of the region’s adult population reside in the other 21 smaller nations.
At a glance
|
2007 |
2025 |
|
| Total population (millions) |
462 |
536 |
| Adult population (age 20-79, millions) |
306 |
376 |
|
|
||
| Diabetes (20-79 age group) | ||
| Regional prevalence (%) |
9.2 |
10.8 |
| Comparative prevalence (%) |
8.4 |
9.7 |
| Number of people with diabetes (millions) |
28.3 |
40.5 |
| Impaired Glucose Tolerance (IGT) (20- 79 age group) | ||
| Regional prevalence (%) |
6.4 |
7.3 |
| Comparative prevalence (%) |
5.8 |
6.7 |
| Number of people with IGT (millions) |
19.6 |
24.5 |
Diabetes and IGT prevalence
The high prevalence of abnormal glucose tolerance for Canada and the USA are very much a consequence of their older age distribution, such that 30% of their population are over 50 years of age, and expected to be 36% by 2025 1 . This is in contrast to 16% of those over 50 years of age increasing to 26% for Mexico, and 20% increasing to 28% for the Caribbean.
The data published in Tables 1 and 2 indicate the expected number of persons with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) for Canada and the USA, based on the data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2000 2 , which based assessment on the fasting glucose. NHANES III data 3 suggested that IGT prevalence was about 50% higher than for IFG, on which basis about 18 million Americans were likely to affected by IGT in 2007 (9% prevalence), and nearly 25 million in 2025.
As all the Caribbean islands other than Barbados, Guadeloupe and Martinique had their estimates extrapolated from Jamaican data 4 , the differences in prevalence are a consequence only of different age distributions for the islands.
There were new studies of diabetes prevalence used for USA 5 and Mexico 6 7 , which hardly affected the USA estimate, but somewhat increased that for Mexico.
1.United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. Geneva: United Nations; 2005
2.CDC Prevalence of diabetes and impaired fasting glucose in adults--United States, 1999-2000. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.2003; 52(35): 833-837
3.Harris,MI Flegal,KM Cowie,CC Eberhardt,MS Goldstein,DE Little,RR Wiedmeyer,HM Byrd-Holt,DD Prevalence of diabetes, impaired fasting glucose, and impaired glucose tolerance in U.S. adults. The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination 1988-1994. Diabetes Care.1998; 21: 518-524
4.Wilks,R. Rotimi,C. Bennett,F. McFarlane-Anderson,N. Kaufman,J.S. Anderson,S.G. Cooper,R.S. Cruickshank,J.K. Forrester,T. Diabetes in the Caribbean: results of a population survey from Spanish Town, Jamaica. Diabet Med.1999; 16(10): 875-883
5.Cowie,C.C. Rust,K.F. Byrd-Holt,D.D. Eberhardt,M.S. Flegal,K.M. Engelgau,M.M. Saydah,S.H. Williams,D.E. Geiss,L.S. Gregg,E.W. Prevalence of diabetes and impaired fasting glucose in adults in the U.S. population: National Health And Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2002. Diabetes Care.2006; 29(6): 1263-1268
6.Aguilar-Salinas CA Velazquez Monroy O Gomez-Perez FJ Gonzalez Chavez A Esqueda AL Molina Cuevas V Rull-Rodrigo JA Tapia Conyer R Characteristics of patients with type 2 diabetes in Mexico: Results from a large population-based nationwide survey. Diabetes Care.2003; 26(7): 2021-2026
7.Sanchez-Castillo CP Velasquez-Monroy O Lara-Esqueda A Berber A Sepulveda J Tapia-Conyer R James WP Diabetes and hypertension increases in a society with abdominal obesity: results of the Mexican National Health Survey 2000. Public Health Nutr.2005; 8(1): 53-60

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